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Selected Public Papers

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DR. JOEL POPKIN

"At What Price? Conceptualizing and Measuring Cost-of-Living and Price Indexes," Challenge, March-April 2002.

"Data Watch: The U.S. National Income and Product Accounts," Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2000.

Testimony on the Bureau of Labor Statistics: Fixing the Consumer Price Index before the Subcommittee on Human Resources, Committee of Government Reform and Oversight, United States House of Representatives, April 29, 1998.

Testimony on the Centralization of the Federal Statistics System before the Subcommittee on Government Management, Information and Technology, Committee of Government Reform and Oversight, United States House of Representatives, March 26, 1998.

"The Really Low Inflation: How Much Longer Can it Last?" presented at the 45th Annual Conference on the Economic Outlook, University of Michigan, November 21, 1997.

Comments on papers on "Measuring Inflation Topic #31" presented at the 51st Session of the International Statistical Institute, Istanbul, Turkey, August 1997.

"Improving the CPI: The Record and Suggested Next Steps," Business Economics, (July 1997).

"Why Play a Numbers Game?" The New York Times, February 27, 1997.

"Remarks on the CPI and the Boskin Panel Report," presented at the American Economic Association meetings, New Orleans, Louisiana, January 6, 1997.

"Measures of Disequilibrium as Components of Leading Indicator Indexes," Ad-Hoc Expert Group on Leading Indicators, 17-18th October 1996, OECD Headquarters, Salle 2.

"Comments on paper on "Constructing Interarea Compensation Costs Indexes with Data from Multiple Surveys by Brooks Pierce, John Ruser and Kim Zieschang," for the CRIW Conference on International and Interarea Comparisons of Prices, Income and Output, Arlington, VA, March 15-16, 1996.

"Scope, Quality and Use of CPI and PPP," proceedings of an International Seminars on Improving the Quality of Price Indices--CPI & PPI, Dipartmento Di Statistica "G. Parenti", Eurostat, Florence, Italy, December 18-20, 1995, pp 23-29.

"The Quality of Jobs Created in Small and Large Firms in the U.S. Economy, 1990-91," (with R. Kochhar), paper presented at the OECD Workshop on "Small and Medium Sized Enterprises: Employment, Innovation and Growth," Washington, DC, June 16-17, 1995.

"A "Clean-slate" Analysis of Ways to Raise the "Rate of Return" to Companies on the Economic Information They Report to the Census Bureau," U.S. Census Bureau, 1995.

Testimony on the overstatement in the Consumer Price Index before the Committee on Finance, United States Senate, April 1995.

"Modeling Inventory Investment and Profits in a Macro-economic Model," Economics, Econometrics and The LINK: Essays in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, M. Dutta, Executive Editor, Elsevier Science, 1995, pp 441-449.

"No Quick CPI Fix," Washington Post, March 10, 1995.

"Considerations in Developing a Hierarchy for NAICS," a discussion paper prepared for the Economic Classification Policy Committee of the Office of Management and Budget, Washington, DC, January 1995.

"Where Does One Learn About Economic Measurement?" presented at the American Economic Association meeting: Economics and Data Roundtable, Washington, DC, January 7, 1995.

"Considerations for Developing a Hierarchy for NAICS," a discussion paper prepared for the Economic Classification Policy Committee, September 30, 1994.

"Labor Income at Constant Prices," (with R. Kochhar), paper presented at the Twenty-Third General Conference of the International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, St. Andrew's, New Brunswick, Canada, August 21-27, 1994.

"Summary of Comments," presented at the Sixth Annual Conference on U.S.-Asian Economic Relations American Committee on Asian Economic Studies, Brandeis University, Waltham, MA, May 16, 1994.

"A Private-Sector Perspective on the Actual and Potential Uses of Available Data on the Purchasing Power of Currencies," (with R. Kochhar), The World Bank, International Economics Department, March 1994.

"Measurement Problems in Quantifying Information Technology's Contribution to Productivity," Presented at the international workshop on The Productivity Impact of Information Technology Investments organized by the National Science Foundation, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Charleston, SC, November 11-13, 1993.

"An Alternative View of the Behavior of Industrial Output," (with K. Kobe) Current Business Survey, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, November 1993, pp 50-56.

"Concepts for an Ideal Standard Occupational Classification System," (with Rakesh Kochhar) Proceedings of the International Occupational Classification Conference, June 22-24, 1993, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Report 833, pp 124-141.

"Measuring Prices of Medicare Physician Services" (with Stephen Zuckerman, John Holahan, Sherry Terrell and Rakesh Kochhar), Medical Care, Vol. 31, No. 8, pp. 694-710, J. B. Lippincott Company, 1993.

Comments on "Adjusting Apparel Indexes in the CPI for Quality Differences" by Paul R. Liegey, Jr., and "The Effect of Outlet Price Differentials on the U.S. Consumer Price Index" by Marshall Reinsdorf, Price Measurements and Their Uses, "Studies in Income and Wealth," edited by Murray F. Foss, Marilyn E. Manser, and Allan H. Young, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Vol. 57, pp. 209-257, 1993.

"Round Table on Modeling," Lawrence Klein's The Keynesian Revolution: 50 Years After, Economics Day, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, pp. 33-35, 1992.

"The Impact of Measurement and Analytical Issues in Assessing Industry Productivity and Its Relationship to Computer Investment," paper prepared for International Business Machines Corporation, October 1992.

"Recommendations and Description of the Principles Upon Which a Revised Industrial Classification System Should be Built," proceedings from the 1991 International Conference on the Classification of Economic Activities, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, November 7, 1991.

"Monitoring Economic Performance in the 21st Century: Measurement Needs and Issues," Proceedings from the 1991 International Conference on the Classification of Economic Activities, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, November 6, 1991.

"Statistics on Economic Activity," Testimony before the Subcommittee on Government Information and Regulation of the Committee on Governmental Affairs of the U.S. Senate, May 15, 1991.

"The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on the U.S. Economy," Testimony before the Joint Economic Committee and the Subcommittee on Europe and the Middle East of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, August 8, 1990.

"Four Myths About the U.S. Mail," The Washington Post, March 19, 1990.

"Why Some of the Leading Indicators Lead," Analyzing Modern Business Cycles, Essays Honoring Geoffrey H. Moore, Edited by Philip A. Klein, The Pennsylvania State University, April 1990.

"The Quality of Federal Statistics," Testimony before the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Serial No. 31-812, pp. 52-58, (U.S. Government Printing Office, March, 1990).

"A Study of Embodied Technical Change in U.S. Manufacturing Based on 1982 Census Data," (with P.N. Mathur) Ninth International Conference on Input-Output Techniques (Keszthely, Hungary, September 1989).

"The Conduct of Monetary Policy," Testimony before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, Serial No. 101-8, pp. 65-68 and 222-223, (U.S. Government Printing Office, February 1989).

"The Current State of Price Index Methods," paper presented at the Sino-American Statistical Meetings, Beijing, People's Republic of China, September 1987.

"A Rebound, Yes, but Not Like the '70's," The New York Times, August 17,1986.

"International Comparability of Industry Classification Systems," (with Vito Natrella), American Statistical Association 1986 Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section, pp. 1319, August 1986.

"Correlation of the Standard Industrial Classification System of the United States with the Systems of Six Industrialized Countries," (with Vito Natrella) prepared for the U.S. Department of Commerce - International Trade Administration.

"Why the Lid is on Prices, at Last," The New York Times, December 1, 1985.

"Life Insurance Demand to the Year 2000" paper presented at the November, 1985 annual meetings of the American Council of Life Insurance.

"The Effect of Gender and Race Differentials on Public-Private Wage Comparisons: A Study of Postal Workers" (with Martin Asher), Industrial and Labor Relations Review, October 1984.

"The Business Cycle at Various Stages of Process," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 2, No. 3, July 1984, pp. 215-23.

"The Sources and Impact of Commodity Inflation Over the Past Decade," Inflation: Prospects and Remedies, Center for National Policy, October 1983.

"How Recovery Will Push Up Prices," Fortune, June 27, 1983.

"Demographic and Industry Factors in Wage Determination" (with Martin Asher), paper presented at the December, 1982 meetings of the Allied Social Sciences Meetings.

"An Analysis of the Effect of Recessions on Small Business' Output," prepared for the U.S. Small Business Administration, 1982 (NTIS Accession #PB82-115981).

"Measuring Gross Product Originating in Small Business: Methodology and Annual Estimates, 1955 to 1976," prepared for the U.S. Small Business Administration, 1981 (NTIS Accession #PB81-211799).

"Inflation: A Sharp Drop, Then Some Rebound," Fortune, June 30, 1980.

Review of Curing Chronic Inflation by Okun and Perry, Brookings, 1978 in The Bankers Magazine, May-June 1980.

"Incomes Policies: An Assessment of Various Proposals in the Light of the Structure of the U.S. Economy, and Some Recommendations," Eastern Economic Journal, October 1979.

"Comparison of Industry Output Measures," in Measurement and Interpretation of Productivity, National Research Council, 1979.

"Incomes Policies," in Inflation and National Survival, C. Walton, ed., Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science, Vol. 33, No. 3, 1979.

"Price Behavior in the Manufacturing Sector for Sixteen Industries Classified by Stage-of-Process," National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper Number 238, March 1978.

"Stage-of-Process Modeling and the Mitchell-Burns View of the Business Cycle," Reporter, National Bureau of Economic Research, March 1978.

"The Integration of a System of Price and Quantity Statistics with Data on Related Variables," The Review of Income and Wealth, Series 24, No. 1, March 1978.

"A Multipurpose Data Collection and Analysis Organization: Some Problems and Solutions," Energy Information - Description, Diagnosis, and Design, Edited by William W. Hogan, Institute for Energy Studies, Stanford University, 1978.

"Food Processing and Distribution: The Role of the Middlemen," Food and Agricultural Policy, American Enterprise Institute, Washington, D.C., 1977.

"Management of the Federal Statistical System and the Integration of Economic Data Bases," Papers and Proceedings of the 1977 meetings of the American Statistical Association.

Review of Phase II in Review: The Price Commission Experience by Lanzillotti, Hamilton and Roberts in Policy Analysis, Vol. 3, No. 4, Fall 1977.

Editor, Analysis of Inflation, 1965-1974, NBER Income and Wealth Conference, Vol. 42 (Cambridge, MA: Ballinger Press, 1977).

"'Bottleneck' Inflation--Back Again in 1978?," the Wharton magazine, Vol. 1, No. 4 (Summer 1977).

"An Integrated Model of Final and Intermediate Demand by Stage-of-Process: A Progress Report," 1976 Proceedings of the American Economic Association, The American Economic Review.

"Price Forecasting," Business Economics (November 1976).

"Some Avenues for the Improvement of Price Forecasts Generated by Macroeconometric Models," 1974 Proceedings of the American Agricultural Economics Association.

"Consumer and Wholesale Prices in a Model of Price Behavior by Stage-of-Processing," Review of Economics and Statistics, (November 1974).

"Commodity Prices and the U.S. Price Level," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1974:1.

"Problems and Progress in Improving Measures of Wholesale and Consumer Prices," Business Economics (May 1973).

"Prices in 1972: An Analysis of Changes During Phase II," Monthly Labor Review (February 1973).

"Relationship Between the Behavior of Consumer and Wholesale Prices," 1971 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association.

"Price Determination and Cost of Living Measures in a Disaggregated Model of the U.S. Economy," (with Dale Heien) in The Econometrics of Price Determination, Otto Eckstein (ed.), Washington, D.C. 1972.

"Measurement Bias in Price Indexes for Capital Goods," Review of Income and Wealth (September 1970).

"Price Research in Government," 1967 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association.

"A Study of the Determinants of Both Plant and Equipment Expenditures," Staff Working Paper No. 13, U.S. Department of Commerce (March 1967).

"Comments on 'The Distributed Lag Between Capital Appropriations and Expenditures'," Econometrica (July 1966).

"A Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States," with M. Liebenberg and A. Hirsch, Survey of Current Business (March 1965).

"The Relationship Between New Orders and Shipments: An Analysis of the Machinery and Equipment Industries," Survey of Current Business (March 1965).

"The Use of Wealth Data in Quantitative Economic Analysis," 1964 Proceedings of the American Statistical Association.

Measuring the Nation's Wealth, Columbia University Press and Joint Economic Committee with John Kendrick and David Hyams, Studies in Income and Wealth, Vol. 29 (1964).

"A Measure of Technological Change and Returns of Scale," (with Murray Brown), The Review of Economics and Statistics (November 1962).

"An Econometric Analysis of the Postwar Relationship Between Inventory Fluctuations and Changes in Aggregate Economic Activity," with L.R. Klein, University of Pennsylvania, in Inventory Fluctuations and Economic Stability, Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Washington (1961), Part III.

Doctoral Research: "Interfirm Differences in Direct-Investment Behavior of U.S. Manufacturers". (Dissertation advisor: Professor Lawrence R. Klein).